Opinion
Predicting the 2020 election: Will forecasters repeat mistakes made in 2016?
By Matt Dickinson | October 29, 2020 Assuming political scientists’ fundamentals-based forecast models are accurate, Joe Biden will win next Tuesday’s presidential election with about 53% of the two-party popular vote, and somewhere north of 300 Electoral College votes. But can we trust those forecasts? In 2016, contrary ...